The Kenyan Sovereignty Crisis: Outclassed by an Ethiopia-Russia Nuclear Deal

One week after I published my deep dive on Kenya’s quiet sovereignty erosion, their Ministry of Energy announced the sudden revival of the long-stalled High Grand Falls Dam.

The timing isn’t coincidental — it’s diagnostic.

While Ethiopian Electric Power was finalizing its nuclear deal with Russia’s Rosatom, Kenya was desperately reviving a project that’s been stonewalled since its conception in the 1950s, with a recent UK PPP collapse in July 2025.

This isn’t strategy — it’s reactionary optics masquerading as policy. The data reveals the crisis: energy imports +66.7% (2024); Ethiopia supplies 11% of daily power; reserves 9MW vs 310MW required; transmission losses 23.5%.
Ethiopia is building recursive sovereignty loops (GERD → nuclear → industrial → multipolar finance). Kenya is stuck in linear dependency cycles. This is structural.